Go, Vote, Win
Nov. 3rd, 2008 09:14 pmIf you didn't vote absentee or early, tomorrow is the time to get in and vote. Yes, even the Republicans. (Yes, Republicans, tomorrow might sting a bit, but I think it will be a good thing in the long run for the sane conservatives, too.)
The last-minute predictions:
Update: Karl Rove (!) also predicts that Obama will trounce McCain, even with McCain winning the states that are "in a dead heat".
The last-minute predictions:
- 538's sophisticated probabilistic model has Obama with a 98.1% chance of winning, a mean of 346.5 electoral votes and 52% of the popular vote, with a 31% chance of a landslide (375+ EV).
- Electoral Vote's winner-take-all model has Obama winning with 353 EV.
- Intrade's prediction markets expect Obama to win 364 electoral votes, with ~91.6% chance of an Obama victory.
- CNN's bet-hedging prediction says Obama has 210 EV solid, 81 leaning, 90 toss-up.
Update: Karl Rove (!) also predicts that Obama will trounce McCain, even with McCain winning the states that are "in a dead heat".